MQ 3513 · DFW → FSM

took off 8:30 AM CT · expected to land 9:10 AM CT (scheduled 8:33 AM CT → 9:54 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at FSM more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FSM?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FSM

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FSM (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3513 · DFW → FSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to FSM?