MQ 3617 · PHX → GJT

departs 8:47 AM MT · arrives 11:17 AM MT

Your aircraft is N287NN (E170), coming in as MQ 4048 from EUG: landed 8:32 AM MT.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GJT more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GJT?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at GJT that day

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ GJT usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.46 in

GJT (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3617 · PHX → GJT

Odds over time

How late will it get to GJT?