MQ 3764 · DCA → BNA

departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 11:09 AM CT

Your aircraft is N210NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3936 from JAX: landed 8:01 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at BNA that day

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.20 in

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3764 · DCA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?