MQ 3863 · CLT → HXD

departs 9:45 AM ET · arrives 10:53 PM CST

Your aircraft is N262NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3355 from GSP: landed 9:32 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at HXD more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HXD?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HXD

↓ HXD usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into HXD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.57 in

HXD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3863 · CLT → HXD

Odds over time

How late will it get to HXD?