MQ 4223 · SYR → DCA

departs 11:59 AM ET · arrives 1:39 PM ET

Your aircraft is N207AN (E170), coming in as MQ 4223 from DCA: landed 11:55 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SYR that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

DCA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4223 · SYR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?