OH 5122 · CLT → AVP

took off 11:29 AM ET · landed 12:39 PM ET (scheduled 9:39 AM ET → 11:46 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at AVP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at AVP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ AVP usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into AVP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.95 in

AVP (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,080 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5122 · CLT → AVP

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVP?