Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5154 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:49 AM ET (24 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Sunday, October 11 Today

OH 5154 · CLT → IAD

departs 11:18 AM ET · arrives 1:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are usually not late

↓ IAD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.57 in

IAD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip1.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5154 · CLT → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?