OH 5154 · IAD → CLT

departs 1:19 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.82 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5154 · IAD → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?