OO 3792 · DTW → BGM

took off 12:36 PM ET · landed 1:42 PM ET (scheduled 12:20 PM ET → 1:44 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BGM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BGM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at BGM that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DTW that day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ BGM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.15 in

BGM (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3792 · DTW → BGM

Odds over time

How late did it get to BGM?