Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3792
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3792 · DTW → BGM
departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 1:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Mon 10/12 20%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BGM more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BGM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BGM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BGM?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BGM
↑
12pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BGM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BGM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.