Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3862 CANCELLED

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

OO 3862 · GTF → SLC

departs 5:40 AM MT · arrives 7:10 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not applicable chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–
Cancelled
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 4.6 in of snow forecast at GTF that day

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ 5am departures from GTF are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

GTF (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.91 in

SLC (destination) Gusts40 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3862 · GTF → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?