OO 3870 · FSD → MSP

took off 5:12 PM CT · landed 5:47 PM CT (scheduled 5:03 PM CT → 6:12 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MSP that day

↓ FSD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FSD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3870 · FSD → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?