OO 4034 · DTW → SBN

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 2:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

SBN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4034 · DTW → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?