Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4817
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
OO 4817 · DFW → SGU
departs 9:14 PM CT · arrives 11:09 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Today 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day
↓
SGU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SGU (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.