Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4817
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
OO 4817 · DFW → SGU
departs 12:33 AM CT · arrives 2:15 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12
Odds over time
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SGU that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SGU (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.