Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4828
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11
OO 4828 · CLT → SHD
departs 11:19 AM ET · arrives 12:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/10 20%
Sun 10/11
Odds over time
Arrive at SHD more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SHD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SHD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at SHD that day
↑
Arrivals into SHD at that hour are often late
↓
SHD usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.33333 mi Precip 0.99 in
SHD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.