Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4829
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11
OO 4829 · LWB → CLT
departs 8:34 AM ET · arrives 9:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Fri 10/9 15%
Sat 10/10 15%
Sun 10/11
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±3 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave LWB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LWB that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
LWB is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LWB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.72 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.