OO 5479 · SFO → MRY

took off 11:29 AM PT · landed 12:00 PM PT (scheduled 10:35 AM PT → 11:34 AM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MRY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MRY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5479 · SFO → MRY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MRY?