OO 5803 · SFO → GPI

departs 12:17 PM PT · arrives 4:42 PM -05

Your aircraft is N140SY (E75L), coming in as OO 5616 from SNA: landed 11:04 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GPI more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GPI?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Arrivals into GPI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GPI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5803 · SFO → GPI

Odds over time

How late will it get to GPI?