OO 5843 · IAH → CRP

took off 12:02 PM CT · landed 12:45 PM CT (scheduled 11:58 AM CT → 1:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CRP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CRP

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CRP (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5843 · IAH → CRP

Odds over time

How late did it get to CRP?