PT 5846 · TRI → CLT

departs 6:52 AM ET · arrives 7:51 AM ET

Your aircraft is N651AE (E145), coming in as PT 5913 from CLT: landed 12:28 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from TRI are usually not late

Weather at each end

TRI (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.34 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.79 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5846 · TRI → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?