Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5943
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
PT 5943 · GSP → CLT
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 9:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at GSP that day
↑
Other factors
↓
9am departures from GSP are usually not late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GSP (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.29 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.93 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.