PT 6030 · CLT → ROA

took off 8:44 AM ET · landed 9:16 AM ET (scheduled 7:16 AM ET → 8:20 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ROA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at ROA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ PT's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ROA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

ROA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6030 · CLT → ROA

Odds over time

How late did it get to ROA?