PT 6030 · ROA → CLT

took off 10:32 AM ET · landed 11:13 AM ET (scheduled 9:21 AM ET → 10:33 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at ROA that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ ROA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ROA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.69 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6030 · ROA → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?