Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6113 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:38 AM ET (4 H 29 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

PT 6113 · AVL → CLT

departs 6:59 AM ET · arrives 7:55 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from AVL are usually not late

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.47 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.95 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6113 · AVL → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?