Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 8832 LANDED 10:55 AM ET, ~128 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

PT 8832 · CLT → AVL

took off 10:27 AM ET · landed 10:55 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from CLT are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.95 in

AVL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 8832 · CLT → AVL

Odds over time