SV 38 · IAD → RUH

departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 1:51 PM +03

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at RUH more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RUH?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RUH

↓ IAD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.83 in

RUH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SV 38 · IAD → RUH

Odds over time

How late will it get to RUH?