Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 101 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

SY 101 · MSP → LAS

departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:25 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 101 · MSP → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?