SY 1046 · BTV → MSP

took off 6:12 PM ET · landed 7:39 PM CT (scheduled 6:08 PM ET → 7:58 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BTV that day

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MSP that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BTV (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,520 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 1046 · BTV → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?