Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 105 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

SY 105 · MSP → LAS

departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 1:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.87 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 105 · MSP → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?