SY 252 · BOS → MSP

took off 12:01 PM ET · expected to land 1:35 PM CT (scheduled 11:55 AM ET → 2:13 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SY's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BOS that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.17 in

MSP (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 252 · BOS → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?