SY 622 · HRL → MSP

took off 4:50 PM CT · landed 7:35 PM CT (scheduled 3:38 PM CT → 6:56 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ HRL usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MSP that day

Weather at each end

HRL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 622 · HRL → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?