Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 311 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

TA 311 · MIA → SAL

departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 4:28 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SAL that day

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

↓ SAL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.87 in

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 311 · MIA → SAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAL?