UA 2033 · SEA → DEN

took off 1:09 PM PT · landed 4:22 PM MT (scheduled 12:46 PM PT → 4:32 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2033 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?