Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2033 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

UA 2033 · SEA → DEN

departs 12:42 PM PT · arrives 4:29 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,267 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2033 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?