UA 2457 · RTB → IAH

departs 12:29 PM CST · arrives 4:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RTB

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RTB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2457 · RTB → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?