WN 1932 · BWI → CLT

took off 9:32 AM ET · expected to land 10:29 AM ET (scheduled 8:20 AM ET → 9:50 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
79%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

CLT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1932 · BWI → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?