WN 467 · CLT → BWI

departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 6:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.57 in

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 467 · CLT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?