YX 4343 · LGA → BGR

left the gate 12:08 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 12:08 PM ET → 1:51 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N429YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4624 from MSN: landed 11:01 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.91 in

BGR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4343 · LGA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?