YX 4469 · DCA → MYR

departs 9:58 AM ET · arrives 12:02 PM ET

Your aircraft is N415YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4352 from IND: landed 9:00 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.20 in

MYR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4469 · DCA → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?