YX 4667 · LGA → DCA

departs 10:45 AM ET · arrives 12:16 PM ET

Your aircraft is N406YX (E75S), coming in as YX 4540 from ORF: landed 9:38 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.91 in

DCA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4667 · LGA → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?