YX 4679 · DCA → CHS

left the gate 9:19 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled 8:39 AM ET → 10:45 AM ET)

Your aircraft is N427YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4786 from GRR: landed 7:35 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

↑ 8am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.20 in

CHS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4679 · DCA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?