Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7377
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
2K 7377 · MIA → GYE
departs 1:49 AM ET · arrives 5:36 AM -05
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 12%
Thu 10/15 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at GYE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GYE?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↑
2K's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GYE
↓
Arrivals into GYE at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
GYE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.