9E 5534 · DTW → MEM

took off 4:26 PM ET · landed 4:50 PM CT (scheduled 4:15 PM ET → 5:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MEM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5534 · DTW → MEM

Odds over time

How late did it get to MEM?