AA 1110 · LAX → MIA

took off 6:46 AM PT · landed 2:13 PM ET (scheduled 6:31 AM PT → 2:43 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1110 · LAX → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?