tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1124 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1124 · BAQ → MIA

departs 1:39 PM -05 · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.