AA 1128 · MDE → MIA

took off · landed 6:13 PM ET (scheduled 1:51 PM -05 → 6:19 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDE

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1128 · MDE → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?