AA 1140 · BOS → CLT

took off 6:15 PM ET · expected to land 7:54 PM ET (scheduled 5:01 PM ET → 7:27 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
83%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

CLT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1140 · BOS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?