AA 1147 · MIA → BOS

departs 1:57 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Your aircraft is N317PG (B738), coming in as AA 1856 from SDQ: landed 12:20 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1147 · MIA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?