AA 1319 · MIA → CMW

departs 12:24 PM ET · arrives 1:54 PM CDT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at CMW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMW?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMW

↓ Arrivals into CMW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

CMW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1319 · MIA → CMW

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMW?